What the PM got wrong

We have just been treated to an address to the nation by Boris Johnston. He has been under pressure to move the country forward through this crisis and to give the people reassurance and hope. In this regard, he was justified in highlighting successes to date: the lockdown has protected the NHS; deaths have been …

Life after lockdown – reality check

Our objective here is to try to make sense of the emerging information.  Our intention is not to be perpetually critical but to create healthy discussion; to take a practical view and get to the facts. Our panel, our objectives and our contributors are mostly by design argumentative, constructively. If there is a better way, …

Wait a minute – what does ‘peak’ mean?

If there was ever a time when you need to listen to every single word, this might well be it. The government and mainstream media have been claiming and reporting that we passed the peak on the 8th April – take this compelling article by the BBC: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-52361519. And yet over the weekend, the few …

Who will die from the Covid-19 epidemic and lockdown?

Background When a novel virus infects a population unhindered, it will spread exponentially, some will die, most will recover and develop immunity and as herd immunity increases, viral spread diminishes and the epidemic resolves.  During its course, the consequences may be catastrophic, as in 1918.  Thus, governments stepped in with population lockdown to reduce the …