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Thought for food

by Alison Wray. A food bank is a non-profit, charitable organisation that distributes food to those who have difficulty purchasing enough to avoid hunger.  The first food bank was founded in the U.S.A in 1967 and there was little need for them in the United Kingdom then, due to our Welfare System, but they have …

Changing the score

“Change does not roll in on the wheels of inevitability”;[1]  an axiom, in the context of data, you’d think would either drive or inhibit progress. And you’d be right. This well-rehearsed paradox is playing out relentlessly in the context of the global pandemic and endeavours to disagree on which ‘science to follow’ in optimising our chances …

He had it Cummings?

WANTED: People keen to focus on research and real stuff. Serious message below. I just about know who Duncan Cummings is. Just as I was getting to grips with social media, headlines were eclipsed by another single-issue. In addition to returning interesting Google search results, Dominic Cummings if he does nothing else, he fascinates. Apparently. …

What is the acceptable level of risk for Covid-19?

During the current coronavirus lockdown there had been a dramatic reduction in road traffic and hence, presumably, a dramatic reduction in casualties from road traffic accidents – something that is highly desirable. Why did this have to wait for coronavirus? We could have instituted a national lockdown at any time in order to reduce road …

What the PM got wrong

We have just been treated to an address to the nation by Boris Johnston. He has been under pressure to move the country forward through this crisis and to give the people reassurance and hope. In this regard, he was justified in highlighting successes to date: the lockdown has protected the NHS; deaths have been …

Life after lockdown – reality check

Our objective here is to try to make sense of the emerging information.  Our intention is not to be perpetually critical but to create healthy discussion; to take a practical view and get to the facts. Our panel, our objectives and our contributors are mostly by design argumentative, constructively. If there is a better way, …

Who will die from the Covid-19 epidemic and lockdown?

Background When a novel virus infects a population unhindered, it will spread exponentially, some will die, most will recover and develop immunity and as herd immunity increases, viral spread diminishes and the epidemic resolves.  During its course, the consequences may be catastrophic, as in 1918.  Thus, governments stepped in with population lockdown to reduce the …